Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.001673 0.001783 0.001897 0.002024 0.002161 0.002306 0.002469
2025-01-12 0.001480 0.001632 0.001795 0.001984 0.002198 0.002434 0.002713
2025-01-19 0.001358 0.001534 0.001731 0.001967 0.002243 0.002558 0.002946
2025-01-26 0.001228 0.001415 0.001628 0.001890 0.002206 0.002576 0.003047
2025-02-02 0.001190 0.001397 0.001638 0.001941 0.002315 0.002767 0.003359
2025-02-09 0.001151 0.001372 0.001635 0.001974 0.002402 0.002931 0.003643
2025-02-16 0.001141 0.001382 0.001673 0.002055 0.002550 0.003177 0.004046
2025-02-23 0.001095 0.001343 0.001648 0.002055 0.002592 0.003287 0.004272
2025-03-02 0.001028 0.001274 0.001580 0.001995 0.002551 0.003283 0.004342
2025-03-09 0.000976 0.001221 0.001530 0.001955 0.002533 0.003308 0.004450
2025-03-16 0.000942 0.001191 0.001508 0.001951 0.002563 0.003397 0.004651
2025-03-23 0.000903 0.001152 0.001473 0.001925 0.002560 0.003439 0.004786
2025-03-30 0.000865 0.001115 0.001442 0.001910 0.002579 0.003523 0.005002
2025-04-06 0.000821 0.001069 0.001397 0.001874 0.002566 0.003562 0.005156
2025-04-13 0.000788 0.001036 0.001368 0.001859 0.002582 0.003642 0.005377
2025-04-20 0.000738 0.000978 0.001303 0.001787 0.002511 0.003588 0.005381
2025-04-27 0.000731 0.000979 0.001319 0.001834 0.002619 0.003810 0.005844
2025-05-04 0.000719 0.000972 0.001324 0.001865 0.002702 0.003999 0.006266
2025-05-11 0.000721 0.000986 0.001359 0.001941 0.002860 0.004315 0.006927
2025-05-18 0.000701 0.000966 0.001344 0.001941 0.002897 0.004435 0.007257
2025-05-25 0.000667 0.000925 0.001295 0.001885 0.002840 0.004397 0.007300
2025-06-01 0.000640 0.000892 0.001259 0.001848 0.002812 0.004406 0.007427
2025-06-08 0.000623 0.000875 0.001244 0.001844 0.002839 0.004508 0.007735